![]() ![]() It would be hard to argue that this doesn't also effect chinas status as the manufacturer of the world as it's clear Germany is terrified about their reliance on Russian energy. Time will tell but I truly wish America could get boots on the ground and help Ukraine in a much more active capacity.Ī Ukrainian win or white peace ends Russians ambitions for a time and that will allow the world to breath long enough to cut out European and American reliance on Russian goods. But the next 6 months and the results of the America election in November, and any political violence associated with holding the US politicians accountable for attempted to subert democracy will likely determine how long this conflict goes on. I have a hard time believing America is not prepared for a scenario like this. So much bad shit is happening because of how destabilized America is and how small and underunded the standing army of Europe is. The sooner Putin and his cronies are dead the better. If America specifically, falls into a period of internal political divide and civil war, then we will see china attempt to take tiawan and Russia willing to utilize their nuclear arsenal in order to anex the Baltics, and eastern Europe. He clearly feels that he has an ace up in his sleeve. I think Putin is more than willing to utilize controlled nuclear strikes as a means to end a global conflict. It would also explain why Russia is so damn eager to bait and lure NATO into striking first which they would quickly claim as the start of ww3. This is all the more powerful when you see India and china essentially financing their war. They view Russia as the true counterweight to Europe and American hegemony and believe Russia has the means and resources to forcefully annex swaths of Europe and thus undermining the traditional western power structure. If Putin's plan to destabilize America and Europe (not a super huge fan of macron but his win atleast provided stability in NATO and the eu whereas le pen would have weakened the alliance significantly) then the war will spread and other countries will look to secure additional land with the world police fighting each other. They do "good" job, but the effectiveness of propaganda will fall off, like always. They are still to some extent under the effect of rally "round the flag", just because propaganda is able to keep from them many aspects of the war (loses, economical impacts which take longer, but you can already see Russian economists speaking increasingly open about incoming difficulties, real cause of war - not the nazi clean-up, just the war over the resources). Especially if you were already used to take it as something certain and stable. The same goes with great exodus of quailified engineers (mostly IT) at the beginning of the war. Huge protests, Putin's ratings plummeted dramatically and very quickly, forced them to rethink and readjust the acts. ![]() Proofs? For starter, check the attempt to raise the retirement age just few years ago in Russia. Especially younger and better educated generations. ![]() They do like to paint the picture of extremely resistant nation, but the decades of better life after the infamous '90 crisis made them even LESS resistant than they were. Current Russians are not very good at financial suffering. ![]()
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